基于三维评估模型转包生产合同风险管理的创新之路

工业工程

基于三维评估模型转包生产合同风险管理的创新之路

北京航空航天大学经济管理学院，北京 100191

出版日期:2016-12-31 发布日期:2017-02-22
作者简介:祝思佳(1982-)，男，江西省人，博士研究生，主要研究方向为风险分析与优化.

An Innovation Route of Subcontract Risk Management Based on Three-dimensional Evaluation Model

School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China

Online:2016-12-31 Published:2017-02-22

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

针对传统二维风险评估模型的局限性，提出一种基于风险影响-概率矩阵的三维风险评估方法，即增加一类可检测性指标，对二维评估结果进行修正，解决转包生产活动中供应商面临的合同风险评估问题。通过建立某航空部件转包合同的二维和三维风险评估模型，并使用Borda序值法进行定量分析，验证了该方法的优越性。

关键词: 合同风险, 风险评估, 三维模型

Abstract:

Aiming at the limitations of traditional two-dimensional evaluation model, a three-dimensional evaluation method is presented based on risk impactprobability matrix. By adding the detectability index, the issue of risk assessment faced by suppliers in subcontracting activity can be resolved and the assessment results corrected. Two-dimensional and three-dimensional evaluation models are built and a quantitative analysis by Borda count method in an aviation subcontracting case is conducted, which proves the effectiveness and correctness of the methods.

Key words: contract risk, risk assessment, three-dimensional model

祝思佳，邱菀华. 基于三维评估模型转包生产合同风险管理的创新之路[J]. 工业工程.

ZHU Sijia, QIU Wanhua. An Innovation Route of Subcontract Risk Management Based on Three-dimensional Evaluation Model[J]. Industrial Engineering Journal .

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