基于随机演化博弈的异质性主体中低碳扩散稳定性的仿真分析

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1007-7375.2021.06.017

工业工程 ›› 2021, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (6): 132-139.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-7375.2021.06.017

基于随机演化博弈的异质性主体中低碳扩散稳定性的仿真分析

董莉莉^1,2, 范如国³

1. 河南大学商学院;
2. 现代物流研究院，河南开封，475001;
3. 武汉大学经济与管理学院，湖北武汉，430072

收稿日期:2021-01-15 发布日期:2022-01-24
作者简介:董莉莉(1986—)，女，河南省人，讲师，博士，主要研究方向为低碳发展和环境治理
基金资助:
国家社会科学基金重大招标课题(20&ZD155)；教育部哲学社会科学研究后期资助项目(19JHQ091)

A Simulation Analysis of Low-carbon Diffusion Stability in Heterogeneous Agents Based on Stochastic Evolutionary Game

DONG Lili^1,2, FAN Ruguo³

1. Business School;
2. Institute of Modern Logistics, Henan University, Kaifeng 475001, China;
3. School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China

Received:2021-01-15 Published:2022-01-24

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为了分析不确定性因素对异质性主体中低碳扩散过程的影响，构建以企业和消费者为主体的随机演化博弈模型，并对其进行稳定性分析，得到3种低碳扩散稳定情形，且以新能源汽车比亚迪E6为例进行仿真验证。研究结果表明，当采取低碳策略的企业比例和采取低碳消费的消费者比例较低时，在不同的噪声强度下，低碳扩散最终都不能实现有效稳定；随着两者比例的增大，在经历混沌状态后，低碳策略和低碳消费能分别在企业和消费者中成功扩散，且在不同噪声强度下实现有效稳定。

关键词: 低碳扩散, 稳定性, 异质性主体, 随机演化博弈, 噪声

Abstract: In order to analyze the influence of uncertain factors on low-carbon diffusion in heterogeneous agents, a stochastic evolutionary game model was constructed considering enterprises and consumers, the stability of this model analyzed, and the corresponding three stability scenarios presented. Moreover, the scenarios were simulated and verified through an example of new energy vehicle BYD E6. The research results show that when the proportions of enterprises with low-carbon strategy and consumers with low-carbon consumption are small, the success of low-carbon diffusion cannot be realized no matter what the noise intensity is, and with the above two proportions increasing, low-carbon strategy and low-carbon consumption can diffuse successfully in enterprises and consumers respectively, and low-carbon diffusion can arrive at effective stability successfully under different noise intensities, after experiencing a chaotic state.

Key words: low-carbon diffusion, stability, heterogeneous agents, stochastic evolutionary game, noise

中图分类号:

F201

董莉莉, 范如国. 基于随机演化博弈的异质性主体中低碳扩散稳定性的仿真分析[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(6): 132-139.

DONG Lili, FAN Ruguo. A Simulation Analysis of Low-carbon Diffusion Stability in Heterogeneous Agents Based on Stochastic Evolutionary Game[J]. Industrial Engineering Journal, 2021, 24(6): 132-139.

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基于随机演化博弈的异质性主体中低碳扩散稳定性的仿真分析

A Simulation Analysis of Low-carbon Diffusion Stability in Heterogeneous Agents Based on Stochastic Evolutionary Game

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