An Innovation Route of Subcontract Risk Management Based on Three-dimensional Evaluation Model

Abstract

Abstract:

Aiming at the limitations of traditional two-dimensional evaluation model, a three-dimensional evaluation method is presented based on risk impactprobability matrix. By adding the detectability index, the issue of risk assessment faced by suppliers in subcontracting activity can be resolved and the assessment results corrected. Two-dimensional and three-dimensional evaluation models are built and a quantitative analysis by Borda count method in an aviation subcontracting case is conducted, which proves the effectiveness and correctness of the methods.

Key words: contract risk, risk assessment, three-dimensional model

ZHU Sijia, QIU Wanhua. An Innovation Route of Subcontract Risk Management Based on Three-dimensional Evaluation Model[J]. Industrial Engineering Journal .

References

［1］大型客机项目风险管理体系建设课题组. 大型客机项目风险管理体系建设研究［R］. 上海、北京：中国商飞、北航大学DRP中心，2012.
［2］邱菀华. 项目风险管理方法与实践［M］. 北京：科学出版社，2005.
［3］高凤丽.基于风险矩阵方法的风险投资项目风险评估研究［D］.南京：南京理工大学,2004:30.
GAO Fengli. The risk assessment research of investment project base on risk matrix method［D］. Nanjing: Nanjing University of Science and Technology， 2004.
［4］SAATY T L. The analytic hierarchy process［J］. Strategic Management Journal, 1980(9): 22-71.
［5］钟登华，张建设，曹广晶. 基于 AHP 的建设工程项目风险分析方法［J］.天津大学学报，2002,35（3）:162-166.
ZHONG Denghua, ZHANG Jianshe, CAO Guangjing. Study on risk analysis for construction projects based AHP［J］. Journal Of Tianjin University, 2002,35(3):162-166.
［6］SATTY T L. Decision making with dependence and feedback［M］. Pittsburgh, PA: RWS. Publication, 1996.
［7］ZADEH L A. Fuzzy sets［J］. Information and Control, 1965,8(3):338-353.
［8］SHAN F, LI D X. Decision support of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of urban development［J］. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 1999,105(1):1-12.
［9］祝金荣.基于模糊综合评价的并购目标决策［J］.工业技术经济,2006(1):23-24.
ZHU Jinrong. The decision of merger and acquisition base on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method［J］. Industrial Technology & Economy, 2006(1):23-24.
［10］甘早斌,何建国.入侵检测系统的多层次模糊综合评价研究［J］.计算机应用研究,2006(4):90-93.
GAN Zaobin, HE Jianguo. Study on multihierarchical fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of intrusion detection system［J］.Application Research of Computers，2006(4):90-93.
［11］邱菀华.国产首架大型客机研制项目的风险管理研究［J］.中国工程科学,2014,16(10): 31-38.
QIU Wanhua. Risk management of the project on the first large passenger aircraft［J］.China Engineering Science, 2014, 16(10):31-38.
［12］HASTAK M, SHAKED A. Model for international construction risk assessment［J］. Journal of Management in Engineering, 2000,16(1):59-69.

[1]	ZHAO Yixiang, LIAO Feifei, WANG Han. An Improved FMEA Risk Assessment Method Based on Comprehensive Empowerment [J]. Industrial Engineering Journal, 2021, 24(3): 83-88.
[2]	ZHOU Jianguo, XU Huiyun, LIU Fei. Application of Bayesian Network in Risk Assessment of Operational Tunnel Structure [J]. Industrial Engineering Journal, 2019, 22(6): 103-109.
[3]	LI Yanyong, WANG Lei, QIAN Chen, SUN Tao. A Study of Project Risk Correlation Network of Real Estate Development Project Based on SNA [J]. Industrial Engineering Journal , 2017, 20(6): 9-15,38.
[4]	. Risk Analysis for Energy Management Contract in the Promotion of LED Lamp Application to Street Lighting [J]. Industrial Engineering Journal , 2011, 14(3): 115-118.
[5]	Sun Yu，Xu Ke-lin，Qin Wei. Risk Assessment of Project Contractors Based on Generalized Regression Neural Network  [J]. Industrial Engineering Journal , 2011, 14(3): 119-123.