考虑消费者焦虑的燃油汽车制造商最优产品策略研究

    An Optimal Product Strategy of Fuel Vehicle Manufacturers Considering Consumer Anxiety

    • 摘要: 随着环境的日益恶化,政府推出一系列政策以推动新能源汽车产业的发展,传统燃油汽车制造商在考虑消费者存在焦虑情绪及政府的替代性优惠时,是否需要调整产品策略,推出混动车型以应对生产新能源汽车制造商的入侵已成为当前亟待解决的问题。基于此,本文从燃油汽车制造商的视角构建双寡头竞争模型,在存在转换成本情况下探讨不同策略下的最优均衡结果,并通过对比分析得到相应的最优策略及实施条件。研究表明,混合策略始终优于混动汽车策略。在低转换成本环境下,当消费者有低替代性优惠度且焦虑缓解系数低于某一阈值时,制造商选择燃油汽车策略;相反,在高转换成本环境下,混合策略是最优策略。此外,一旦焦虑缓解系数或替代性优惠度高于某一阈值时,采取燃油汽车策略。社会福利随消费者焦虑的增加呈现递减的趋势,而3种策略的社会福利却呈现此消彼长的趋势。

       

      Abstract: As the environment deteriorating, the government has introduced a series of policies to promote the development of the new energy vehicles industry. Therefore, it has become an urgent issue that whether traditional manufacturers of fuel vehicles need to adjust their product strategies and launch hybrid vehicles, when considering consumer anxiety and alternative incentives from the government, to cope with the challenge from manufacturers producing new energy vehicles. Based on this, this paper builds a duopoly competition model from the perspective of fuel vehicle manufacturers. The optimal equilibrium results obtained by different strategies considering conversion cost, and the corresponding optimal strategy and implementation conditions are obtained by comparative analysis. Results show that the mixed strategy always outperforms the hybrid vehicle strategy. However, under the condition of low conversion cost, when consumers have low alternative incentives and the anxiety relief coefficient is lower than a certain threshold, manufacturers better choose the fuel vehicle strategy. In contrast, under the condition of high conversion cost, the mixed strategy is the optimal one. Additionally, once the anxiety relief coefficient or the alternative incentive is higher than a certain threshold, the fuel vehicle strategy should be chosen. Social welfare demonstrates a decreasing trend with the increase of consumer anxiety, while the social welfare of the three strategies shows a trade-off trend.

       

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