基于数字孪生的化妆品生产线机器人化重构框架与风险管控策略

    A Digital Twin-Driven Progressive Framework and Risk Control Strategy for Roboticized System Reconstruction

    • 摘要: 为应对机器人化智能重构化妆品生产线面临高风险、长周期、性能波动及决策复杂等严峻挑战,研究提出并验证了一种数字孪生驱动的系统性渐进式重构框架。该框架集成了全面的风险管控策略。通过构建系统的综合表征与动态过程模型(采用“物理-逻辑”双维度表征和基于时间-属性Petri网的方法),实施以迭代优化、虚拟验证和动态调整为核心的渐进式重构,并系统性集成了基于失效模式与影响分析(FMEA)的多层次风险管控机制,以实现重构风险的量化评估与前置干预。以某化妆品生产线为案例的半实物仿真验证(N =20 次独立实验)表明,与传统一次性重构方案相比,所提出的数字孪生渐进式策略(DTPS)显著降低了重构风险指数(从 0.70 ± 0.05 降至 0.45 ± 0.03)、系统波动度(从 38.3% ± 3.7% 降至 25.1% ± 2.2%)及重构总时间(从 72.5 ± 2.8 h缩短至 50.3 ± 1.9 h)。同时,重构后生产线平衡率提升至 87.00%(原始 72.00%)、人工需求减至 39 人(原始 47 人)、每分钟产能提升至 64 瓶(原始 57 瓶),投资回收期约为 30 ~ 32 个月。研究表明,本文提出的框架为机器人化系统重构提供了一种更为全面、风险可控且能有效平衡多重目标的解决方案。

       

      Abstract: Roboticized intelligent reconstruction of cosmetic production lines faces severe challenges such as high risk, long cycle, performance fluctuations, and complex decision-making. To address these challenges, this study proposes and validates a digital twin-driven systematic progressive reconstruction framework integrated with a comprehensive risk control strategy. This framework constructs comprehensive system representation and dynamic process models (using "physical-logic" dual-dimension representation and time-attribute Petri net based methods), implements progressive reconstruction centered on iterative optimization, virtual verification, and dynamic adjustment, and systematically integrates a multi-level risk control mechanism based on Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) to achieve quantitative risk assessment and proactive intervention. Semi-physical simulation validation (N = 20 independent trials) on a cosmetic production line case demonstrates that compared to traditional one-time reconstruction, the proposed Digital Twin-driven Progressive Strategy (DTPS) significantly reduces the reconstruction risk index (from 0.70 ± 0.05 to 0.45 ± 0.03), system fluctuation (from 38.3% ± 3.7% to 25.1% ± 2.2%), and total reconstruction time (from 72.5 ± 2.8 hours shortened to 50.3 ± 1.9 hours). Simultaneously, it improves the post-reconstruction production line balance rate to 87.00% (original 72.00%), reduces labor demand to 39 people (original 47 people), increases capacity to 64 bottles/min (original 57 bottles/min), and achieves an investment recovery period of approximately 30-32 months. The research indicates that the framework proposed in this paper provides a more comprehensive, risk-controllable solution for roboticized system reconstruction, effectively balancing multiple objectives.

       

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