DIP制度下针对医方高编码行为的医保患三方演化博弈分析

    The Tripartite Evolutionary Game of Hospitals, Medical Insurance, and Patients Aiming at Upcoding Behavior under DIP

    • 摘要: 以DIP支付方式改革为背景,研究医方高编码行为,为医保支付方式改革的实施提供参考。针对DIP支付方式改革背景下医方高编码行为,构建可扩展非对称动态演化博弈模型,并基于实际算例进行仿真分析,揭示影响医方违规行为的关键因素。研究发现,加大罚款力度、增加声誉损失有利于遏制医方高编码;降低监管成本、加大罚款力度及监管收益促进保方严格执行监管职权;降低投诉成本、提高投诉收益为患方投诉提供保障。患方投诉概率随着医方高编码概率的增加而上升,医方高编码概率随保方严格监管概率的增加而降低,保方严格监管概率随患方投诉概率的下降而上升。高编码的最终驱动力源于正值额外收益,与保方、患方是否处于监管状态无直接关联。我国现行DIP相关管理条例下,医方高编码的内在驱动力不足,实际中不存在稳定均衡点。

       

      Abstract: Based on Diagnosis-Intervention Packet (DIP) payment reform, this article explores up-coding behavior of hospitals, and provides reference for the implementation of medical insurance payment reform. Under the background of DIP payment reform, this article focuses on the behavior of upcoding, constructs an extensible asymmetric dynamic evolutionary game model to reveal the key factors of violations. The discoveries of this research include that: (1) Increasing penalty severity and amplifying reputational damage are conducive to curbing hospitals' up-coding behaviors; Lowering regulatory costs, increasing penalty severity, and enhancing regulatory returns serve to promote medical insurance' supervision; Reducing the cost of complaints and improving the benefits of complaints provide protection for patients' complaints. (2) The probability of patients' complaints increases with the increase of the probability of hospitals' upcoding; The probability of hospitals' upcoding decreases with the increase of the probability of supervision by medical insurance; The probability of supervision by medical insurance increases with the decrease of the probability of complaints from patients. (3) The ultimate driving force of upcoding comes from positive extra income, which is not directly related to whether medical insurance and patients are under supervision. Under the current management regulations of DIP in China, the internal driving force of hospitals' upcoding is insufficient. Therefore, there is no stable equilibrium point in reality.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回