基于FCM的灾难救援团队中快速信任的推理分析

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 灾难救援团队中快速信任的研究现已成为灾难管理领域研究的焦点，它可以解决救援中协同不佳的问题，从而提高救援的效率和效益。从组织层面和个体层面分析灾难救援团队中快速信任与影响因素的相关关系，引入模糊认知图理论，并构建灾难救援团队快速信任的整体模糊认知图。然后基于快速信任的动态性，采用模糊认知图的推理机理进行分析，结果表明灾难救援团队的快速信任是一种高水平的初始信任，在其发展过程中存在两种发展趋势：一是稳定发展;二是存在一个信任水平下降和信任修复/重建过程。

关键词: 快速信任, 模糊认知图, 灾难救援团队

Abstract: Swift trust in disaster relief team can solve the problem of poor coordination in rescue such that the efficiency and effectiveness of the rescue can be improved. Thus, swift trust in disaster relief team is a hot topic in disaster management. Swift trust and the relationship between it and the factors that have effect on it are analyzed in the light of organization and individual levels. By introducing fuzzy cognitive map (FCM) theory, whole fuzzy cognitive map of swift trust in disaster relief team is built. Then, based on the dynamic characteristics of swift trust, analysis is carried out by using the reasoning mechanism of FCM. Results show that swift trust in disaster relief team is a high level of initial trust. There are two trends in its development: one is the stable development, and the other is a process of trust declining and trust repairing/ reconstruction.

Key words: swift trust, fuzzy cognitive map, disaster relief team

李海燕1，冯春1，张怡2. 基于FCM的灾难救援团队中快速信任的推理分析[J]. 工业工程, 2012, 15(6): 132-138.

Li Hai-yan1, Feng Chun1， Zhang Yi2. An Analysis of Swift Trust in Disaster Relief Teams Based on the Fuzzy Cognitive Maps[J]. Industrial Engineering Journal , 2012, 15(6): 132-138.

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