基于SNA的房地产开发项目风险关联网络分析

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1007-7375.e17-2104

工业工程 ›› 2017, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (6): 9-15,38.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-7375.e17-2104

基于SNA的房地产开发项目风险关联网络分析

李彦勇¹, 王磊², 钱琛², 孙涛²

1. 天津大学管理与经济学部, 天津 300072;
2. 山东大学管理学院, 山东济南 250100

收稿日期:2017-04-30 出版日期:2017-12-30 发布日期:2018-01-09
作者简介:李彦勇(1971-),男,河南省人,博士研究生,主要研究方向为房地产项目、项目风险管理.
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助项目（71572094）；山东省自然科学基金资助项目（ZR2015GM015）；山东省社会科学规划研究资助项目（16CGLJ13）；山东省社会科学基金资助项目（15CGLJ14）

A Study of Project Risk Correlation Network of Real Estate Development Project Based on SNA

LI Yanyong¹, WANG Lei², QIAN Chen², SUN Tao²

1. School of Management and Economy, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China;
2. School of Management, Shandong University, Jinan 250100, China

Received:2017-04-30 Online:2017-12-30 Published:2018-01-09

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 现有的风险关联研究主要分析风险因素系统对项目成本、质量等方面的整体影响。而对系统中不同类型风险的识别和分析不足，导致难以提出有效的风险管控措施。风险因素间交互影响关系形成关联网络。该网络可用于表达风险因素系统。根据风险因素的网络作用特点可将其分为汇聚风险、触发风险、路径风险和循环增长风险。社会网络分析（SNA）方法中的入度、出度和可达矩阵可用来识别上述风险，基于各类风险的网络作用特点提出相应的风险管控措施。最后以某房地产开发项目为例展示了风险关联网络分析的过程。

关键词: 风险关联, 风险评价, 社会网络分析（SNA）, 房地产开发项目

Abstract: The current research on risk correlation focuses on the overall impact of the risk factor system on project such as cost and quality. While the identification and analysis of different kinds of risks in the system is insufficient to support the development of control measures, the network formed by the risk factors and their relationships can be used to express the risk factor system. According to the network characteristics, risk factors can be divided into aggregation risk, trigger risk, path risk and cycle growth risk. First, based on the indexes such as in degree, out degree and reachability matrix in the social network analysis (SNA) method, the above risks are identified. Then, according to the characteristics of each kind of risks, corresponding control measures are put forward. Finally, a real estate development project is taken as an example to show the analysis process of risk correlation network.

Key words: risk correlation, risk assessment, social network analysis (SNA), real estate development project

中图分类号:

C931.1

李彦勇, 王磊, 钱琛, 孙涛. 基于SNA的房地产开发项目风险关联网络分析[J]. 工业工程, 2017, 20(6): 9-15,38.

LI Yanyong, WANG Lei, QIAN Chen, SUN Tao. A Study of Project Risk Correlation Network of Real Estate Development Project Based on SNA[J]. Industrial Engineering Journal , 2017, 20(6): 9-15,38.

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基于SNA的房地产开发项目风险关联网络分析

A Study of Project Risk Correlation Network of Real Estate Development Project Based on SNA

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