风险规避下考虑碳期货的工程机械再制造企业生产决策研究

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1007-7375.230049

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 在碳限额与交易政策下，研究碳期货对风险规避型工程机械再制造企业生产决策的影响。分别构建无碳期货情形和考虑碳期货情形下风险规避型再制造企业的生产决策模型；利用Kuhn-Tucker条件对模型求解，比较两种情形下的最优解；通过算例分析碳期货和风险规避系数对产量、企业效用、消费者剩余和碳排放总量的影响。研究表明，在企业风险规避程度较高情形下，引入碳期货总是会增加新品产量和总产量，而再制品产量，在完全再制造策略下随之增加，部分再制造策略下随之减少。此外，企业风险规避程度较高时，考虑碳期货情形下的企业效用、消费者剩余和碳排放总量均高于不考虑碳期货情形。

关键词: 风险规避, 碳期货, 碳限额与交易, 工程机械再制造, 生产决策

Abstract: Considering the carbon cap and trade policies, the influence of carbon futures on production decision-making of risk-averse enterprises remanufacturing construction machines is studied. Firstly, production decision models of risk-averse remanufacturing enterprises considering carbon free futures and carbon futures are established, respectively. Then, the Kuhn-Tucker condition is used to solve the model, while the optimal solutions in two scenarios are compared. Finally, a numerical example is used to analyze the impact of carbon futures and the risk aversion factors on output, enterprise utility, consumer surplus and total carbon emissions. Results show that in the condition of enterprises with high risk aversion, the introduction of carbon futures always increases the output of new products and total output; with the increase of carbon futures, the output of remanufactured products increases with the complete remanufacturing strategy and decreases with the partial remanufacturing strategy; in addition, when the degree of enterprise risk aversion is high, the enterprise utility, consumer surplus and total carbon emissions considering carbon futures are higher than those without considering carbon futures.

Key words: risk aversion, carbon futures, carbon cap and trade, construction machinery remanufacturing, production decision-making

中图分类号:

F406
F272.3

陈伟达, 钱婷婷. 风险规避下考虑碳期货的工程机械再制造企业生产决策研究[J]. 工业工程, 2024, 27(1): 112-119,136.

CHEN Weida, QIAN Tingting. Production Decision-making of Construction Machinery Remanufacturing Enterprises Considering Carbon Futures with Risk Aversion[J]. Industrial Engineering Journal, 2024, 27(1): 112-119,136.

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