考虑失效相关性的普通药品供应中断模型

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为更好地预防和解决普通药品供应链的中断问题，构建一个稳健可靠的中断模型来为顾客找到最为可靠的供应商是一条行之有效的途径。针对基于供应商独立性假设带来的局限性问题，在对供应商间的相关性定性分析的基础上，运用可靠性理论，构造了供应商间相关性的定量模型，进而根据普通药品的特性提出了基于失效相关性的普通药品供应中断模型。研究表明，通过最小化期望总成本,能为顾客找到最为可靠的供应商，从而能有效降低普通药品供应链的中断风险，同时解决了基于供应商独立性假设所带来的局限性问题，使所得结论更为可靠。

关键词: 普通药品, 供应链, 中断, 失效相关性

Abstract: To solve the prevention problem of disruption of ordinary medicine in a supply chain, an effective way is to establish a robust and reliable disruption model so as to find best suppliers for the customers. The issue addressed in this work is how to eliminate the limitations caused by assumption that suppliers are independence. After qualitatively analyzing the correlation between the suppliers, a quantitative model about the correlation between the suppliers is developed by using the reliability theory. Then, by using the characteristics of ordinary medicine, a supply disruption model of ordinary medicine with failure correlation between suppliers is proposed. Result shows that, by minimizing the expected total cost to find the most reliable suppliers for customers, the model can reduce the disruption risk of ordinary medicine. At the same time, by doing so, the limitations resulting from the assumption of supplier independence are eliminated and thus more reliable solution can be obtained.

Key words: ordinary medicine, supply chain, disruption, failure correlation

赵小松，李莉，吴优，武锦慧. 考虑失效相关性的普通药品供应中断模型[J]. 工业工程, 2013, 16(1): 73-78.

Zhao Xiao-song，Li Li，Wu You，Wu Jin-hui. Supply Disruption Model of Ordinary Medicine with Failure Correlation[J]. Industrial Engineering Journal , 2013, 16(1): 73-78.

参考文献

［1］叶堂林.我国医药供应链存在的问题及其形成原因研究［J］.商业经济，2009（5）：25-27. Ye Tang-lin. Study on the problems of China’s pharmaceutical supply chain and its causes［J］. Business and Economy, 2009 (5）: 25-27. ［2］Tang C S. Robust strategies for mitigating supply chain disruptions［J］. International Journal of Logistics：Research and Applications, 2006, 9(1): 33-47. ［3］Gaonkar R S, Viswanadham N. Analytical framework for the management of risk in supply Chains［J］. IEEE Transactions On Automation Science And Engineering, 2007, 4(2）: 265-273. ［4］Ruiz-Torres A J, Mahmoodi F. The optimal number of suppliers considering the costs of individual supplier failures［J］. The International Journal of Management Science, 2007, 35(1):104-115. ［5］易海燕.供应链风险的管理与控制研究［D］.成都:西南交通大学，2007. Yi Hai-yan. Study on supply chain risk management and control［D］. Chengdu: Southeast Jiaotong University, 2007. ［6］刘希龙,季建华.基于多源供应的弹性供应网络研究［J］.工业工程与管理,2007，12（3）：8-12. Liu Xi-long, Ji Jian-hua. Research on resilient supply network based on Multi-sourcing［J］. Industrial Engineering and Management, 2007，12(3）: 8-12. ［7］刘希龙,季建华.基于应急供应的弹性供应网络研究［J］.控制与决策,2007，22（11）：1223-1227. Liu Xi-long, Ji Jian-hua. Resilient supply network design based on contingency supply［J］. Control and Decision, 2007,22(11）: 1223-1227. ［8］闫妍，刘晓，庄新田.基于节点失效的弹性供应链应急管理策略［J］.控制与决策，2010，25（1）：25-30. Yan Yan, Liu Xiao, Zhuang Xin-tian. Resilient supply chain emergency management strategy based on node fails［J］. Control and Decision, 2010,25(1):25-30. 〖HJ1.75mm〗［9］李莉.供应链中供应地相关性研究［D］.天津:天津大学，2011. Li Li. The research on correlation among suppliers in supply chain［D］. Tianjin: Tianjin University, 2011. ［10］李勇.企业集群内部生态关系分析［J］.安徽农业科学，2006，34（22）：5981-5982. Li Yong.Analysis of the ecological relationship in the enterprise cluster［J］. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences, 2006, 34(22): 5981-5982. ［11］王光明.基于JIT的医院药品供应模式研究［D］.武汉：华中科技大学，2004. Wang Guang-ming. The study of medicines supply pattern in hospital based JIT［D］. Wuhan: Huazhong University of Science & Technology, 2004. ［12］李翠玲，谢里阳.相关失效分析方法评述与探讨［J］.机械设计与制造，2003（3）：1-3. Li Cui-ling, Xie Li-yang. Review and discussion of dependent failure analysis methods［J］. Machinery Design & Manufacture, 2003(3): 1-3. ［13］王正，谢里阳.失效相关系统动态可靠性建模与失效率研究［J］.中国机械工程，2008，19（12）：1393-1398. Wang Zheng, Xie Li-yang.Time-Dependent reliability modeling and study of failure rate for systems with dependent failure［J］.China Mechanical Engineering, 2008, 19(12):1393-1398. ［14］陈敏琼.关于连续型随机变量的全概公式及其应用［J］.杭州师范大学学报，2010，9（6）：409-411. Chen Min-qiong. The total probability formula and its application on continuous random variables［J］. Journal of Hangzhou Normal University, 2010, 9(6): 409-411. ［15］Costantino N, Dotoli M, Falagario M, et al. A model for the optimal design of the hospital drug distribution chain［C］ ∥Proceedings of 2010 IEEE Workshop on Health Care Management(WHCM).Venice: IEEE Conference Publications, 2010: 1-6. ［16］沙沙.医疗供应链的中断模型研究［D］.天津:天津大学，2010. Sha Sha. The research on healthcare supply chain disruption model［D］. Tianjin: Tianjin University, 2010. ［17］Su Chun, Zhang Ye. System reliability assessment based on Wiener process competing failure analysis［J］. Journal of Southeast University, 2010,26(4): 554-557.

[1]	杜建国, 王雅柔. 考虑公平关切的低碳双渠道供应链决策研究[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(5): 18-26.
[2]	覃燕红, 向林, 秦星红. 公平偏好下考虑双边保鲜努力的生鲜农产品供应链协调研究[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(5): 27-38.
[3]	邵必林, 崔梦桦. 考虑零售商公平关切的绿色供应链主体行为演化博弈研究[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(5): 124-131.
[4]	李林, 雷雅琳, 何建洪. 消费者绿色偏好、参考价格效应与供应链绿色创新[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(4): 20-26.
[5]	董海, 吴瑶. 基于PIWOA的绿色闭环供应链网络多目标模糊优化设计[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(4): 27-35.
[6]	闵杰, 杨冉, 欧剑, 曹宗宏. 基于双向成本分担的绿色供应链运营策略研究[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(4): 36-44.
[7]	彭永涛, 陆含, 赵艳萍. 面向延保服务的网购供应链协调策略研究[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(4): 45-55.
[8]	李晓华, 邵举平, 孙延安. 基于SD及三方博弈的低碳供应链消费市场活力激发研究[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(4): 150-159.
[9]	吴春尚. 基于Stackelberg博弈模型的不同主导权的三级农产品电商供应链决策分析[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(4): 160-167.
[10]	曹炳汝, 朱博文. 考虑再制造投资的闭环供应链网络均衡模型[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(3): 1-9.
[11]	聂佳佳, 胡元潇. 制造商生产成本结构对其线上销售模式选择的影响[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(3): 18-25,33.
[12]	王继光, 冯琪卿, 齐凯. 供应中断和需求扰动下供应链竞合关系研究[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(3): 46-53,59.
[13]	刘昊, 樊毓卿, 张诗青. 碳限额交易机制下低碳供应链协调策略[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(3): 60-67,82.
[14]	黄帅, 杨玉中. 基于互补产品的双渠道供应链合作广告博弈分析[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(3): 153-160.
[15]	李芳, 马艳, 王豪丽. 制造商主导下差别主体努力的闭环供应链决策研究[J]. 工业工程, 2021, 24(2): 27-33.