工业工程 ›› 2021, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (1): 19-26,34.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-7375.2021.01.003

• 专题论述 • 上一篇    下一篇

考虑风险规避与零售商谎报行为的绿色供应链决策研究

宋英华1,2, 曹雪竹1,2, 刘丹1,2   

  1. 1. 武汉理工大学 中国应急管理研究中心,湖北 武汉 430070;
    2. 武汉理工大学 安全科学与应急管理学院,湖北 武汉 430070
  • 收稿日期:2020-01-29 发布日期:2021-02-24
  • 通讯作者: 刘丹(1985-),男,湖南省人,副教授,博士,主要研究方向为决策理论与方法、复杂系统建模与仿真等。E-mail:liudan8575@whut.edu.cn E-mail:liudan8575@whut.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:宋英华(1962-),男,湖北省人,教授,博士,主要研究方向为公共管理、危机与灾害应急管理、决策理论与方法等
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发专项基金资助项目(2018YFC0807000);国家社会科学基金资助项目(16CTQ022);国家自然科学基金资助项目(51604204)

A Research on Green Supply Chain Decision-making Considering Risk Avoidance and Retailer's Falsification Behavior

SONG Yinghua1,2, CAO Xuezhu1,2, LIU Dan1,2   

  1. 1. China Research Center for Emergency Management, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China;
    2. School of Safety Science and Emergency Management, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China
  • Received:2020-01-29 Published:2021-02-24

摘要: 为解决二级绿色供应链的产品定价和绿色度决策问题,以零售商具有销售成本信息优势,存在谎报行为为背景,考虑供应链成员具有风险规避特性,通过设计谎报系数,构建集中决策模型与供应商主导Stackelberg博弈模型,分别推导谎报情形下的最优批发价、绿色度和零售价,研究风险规避程度及谎报程度对决策的影响。利用数值仿真验证结论并进行参数敏感性分析。结果表明,集中决策模式下,成员风险规避行为和零售商谎报行为均导致绿色产品批发价和绿色度减小。分散决策模式下,存在零售商风险规避因子拐点,谎报行为对产品最优批发价、绿色度、零售价分别产生正向和负向影响;谎报系数为1.05时,零售商期望利润达到峰值;当谎报系数变动,最优零售价最为敏感,其次为最优绿色度,最后为最优批发价。

关键词: 绿色供应链决策, 风险规避, 信息不对称, Stackelberg博弈

Abstract: The determination of the product green degree and pricing of the second-level green supply chain is focused on. With the retailer's advantage in sales cost information and the existence of false reporting as the background, the supply chain members' risk aversion characteristics are considered, false reporting coefficients are designed, a centralized decision-making game model and manufacturer-led Stackelberg game model are established to get the optimal wholesale price, green degree and retail price in the case of misreporting, and the impact of risk aversion and the degree of misreporting on decision-making is analyzed. The conclusions are verified through a numerical analysis and a parameters sensitivity analysis. The results show that: under centralized decision, the risk aversion of members and the misrepresentation of retailers all lead to a reduction in the wholesale price and greenness of green products. Under decentralized decision, there is an inflection point of the retailer's risk aversion factor and the false reporting behavior has positive and negative effects on the product's optimal wholesale price, greenness, and retail price, respectively;when the false report coefficient is 1.05, the retailer expects profits reach the maximum value; when the false report coefficient changes, the optimal retail price is the most sensitive, followed by the optimal green degree, and finally the optimal wholesale price.

Key words: green supply chain decision, risk aversion, information asymmetry, Stackelberg game

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